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League Two · China

Shanghai Second vs Guangdong Mingtu prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance X2Odds 1.30Market probability 69%Final score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Shanghai Second host Guangdong Mingtu in the League Two (China) on 17 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Guangdong Mingtu to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Shanghai Second 1–1 Guangdong Mingtu.

Going into the match, Shanghai Second had won 0, drawn 5 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 16. Guangdong Mingtu had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 3 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Shanghai Second's last 10 and 2 of Guangdong Mingtu's last 10; 5 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Shanghai Second averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Guangdong Mingtu averaged 1.00 scored and 0.92 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.74 goals from Shanghai Second and 1.05 from Guangdong Mingtu. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 41%, against 30%, 31% and 39% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Shanghai Second (green) and Guangdong Mingtu (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form27% – 73%
Attack50% – 50%
Defence30% – 70%
Head-to-head50% – 50%
Goals50% – 50%
Overall strength38% – 61%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Shanghai SecondLDDLD0.901.6070%50%
Guangdong MingtuWDDWL0.900.3020%20%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance X269%1.30
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals62%1.51
Under 2.5 Goals60%1.53
Under 8.5 Corners54%1.73
BTTS No53%1.74
Over 2.5 Goals40%2.38
Guangdong Mingtu Win39%2.30
Draw30%2.90

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other League Two matches that day