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League Two · China
Dalian Kewei vs Guizhou Zhucheng prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Dalian Kewei host Guizhou Zhucheng in the League Two (China) on 17 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Dalian Kewei to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Dalian Kewei 2–1 Guizhou Zhucheng.
Going into the match, Dalian Kewei had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 10. Guizhou Zhucheng had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Dalian Kewei's last 10 and 3 of Guizhou Zhucheng's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Dalian Kewei averaged 1.40 goals scored and 0.60 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Guizhou Zhucheng averaged 0.92 scored and 1.15 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.17 goals from Dalian Kewei and 0.83 from Guizhou Zhucheng. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 25%, against 41%, 31% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Dalian Kewei (green) and Guizhou Zhucheng (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalian Kewei | DWDWL | 1.30 | 1.00 | 50% | 50% |
| Guizhou Zhucheng | DWLLD | 1.20 | 0.80 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 Sep 2026 · Guizhou Zhucheng 0–1 Dalian Kewei
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 70% | 1.28 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.70 |
| Dalian Kewei Win | 38% | 2.20 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 38% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.90 |
| 1-0 | 16% | 6.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League Two matches that day
- Langfang Glory City vs Shandong Taishan II · 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.60 · FT 0–0 - Jiangxi Liansheng vs Shanghai Port II · 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.40 · FT 0–0 - Shangyu Pterosaur vs BIT · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.57 - Wuhan Three Towns II vs Tai'an Tiankuang · 17 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 2–0 - Shanghai Second vs Guangdong Mingtu · 17 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.30 · FT 1–1 - Xi'an Ronghai vs Shenzhen 2028 · 17 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 - Rizhao Yuqi vs Guangzhou Dandelion · 17 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC · League Two
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.25 · FT 0–0