Home › League stats › Liga Nacional › Xelajú vs Malacateco
Liga Nacional · Guatemala
Xelajú vs Malacateco prediction and preview
15 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Xelajú host Malacateco in the Liga Nacional (Guatemala) on 15 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Xelajú Win — Xelajú to win. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Xelajú 2–1 Malacateco.
Going into the match, Xelajú had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 11. Malacateco had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Xelajú's last 10 and 2 of Malacateco's last 10; 7 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Xelajú averaged 2.15 goals scored and 0.69 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Malacateco averaged 0.63 scored and 2.13 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.04 goals from Xelajú and 0.78 from Malacateco. From that it rates a home win at 66%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 12%, against 58%, 24% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Xelajú (green) and Malacateco (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xelajú | LWLWD | 2.10 | 1.10 | 60% | 70% |
| Malacateco | WLLWD | 1.10 | 1.20 | 20% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Aug 2026 · Malacateco 2–2 Xelajú
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.37 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Xelajú Win | 60% | 1.55 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga Nacional matches that day
- Marquense vs Mixco · 15 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC · Liga Nacional
Published pick: Marquense Win @ 1.67 · FT 1–1 - Guastatoya vs Antigua GFC · 15 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC · Liga Nacional
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 1–1 - Comunicaciones vs Aurora · 14 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · Liga Nacional
Published pick: Comunicaciones Win @ 1.40 · FT 1–2