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Liga Nacional · Guatemala
Guastatoya vs Antigua GFC prediction and preview
15 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Guastatoya host Antigua GFC in the Liga Nacional (Guatemala) on 15 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Guastatoya 1–1 Antigua GFC.
Going into the match, Guastatoya had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 13. Antigua GFC had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Guastatoya's last 10 and 8 of Antigua GFC's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Guastatoya averaged 2.11 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Antigua GFC averaged 1.18 scored and 2.18 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.10 goals from Guastatoya and 1.01 from Antigua GFC. From that it rates a home win at 61%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 17%, against 41%, 31% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 40%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Guastatoya (green) and Antigua GFC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guastatoya | LWWWW | 1.40 | 1.30 | 70% | 60% |
| Antigua GFC | WDLLL | 1.60 | 2.00 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 Aug 2026 · Antigua GFC 2–0 Guastatoya
- 16 Apr 2026 · Guastatoya 3–0 Antigua GFC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.34 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 59% | 1.58 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.75 |
| Guastatoya Win | 41% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| 0-0 | 16% | 6.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga Nacional matches that day
- Xelajú vs Malacateco · 15 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Liga Nacional
Published pick: Xelajú Win @ 1.55 · FT 2–1 - Marquense vs Mixco · 15 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC · Liga Nacional
Published pick: Marquense Win @ 1.67 · FT 1–1 - Comunicaciones vs Aurora · 14 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · Liga Nacional
Published pick: Comunicaciones Win @ 1.40 · FT 1–2