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Liga Nacional · Guatemala
Marquense vs Mixco prediction and preview
15 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Marquense host Mixco in the Liga Nacional (Guatemala) on 15 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Marquense Win — Marquense to win. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 54% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Marquense 1–1 Mixco.
Going into the match, Marquense had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 10. Mixco had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Marquense's last 10 and 7 of Mixco's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Marquense averaged 1.22 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Mixco averaged 0.67 scored and 2.67 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.54 goals from Marquense and 1.02 from Mixco. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 24%, against 54%, 26% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 48%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Marquense (green) and Mixco (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Aug 2026 · Mixco 1–0 Marquense
- 8 Apr 2026 · Mixco 2–1 Marquense
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.39 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.38 |
| Marquense Win | 54% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 48% | 2.00 |
| Marquense HT & FT | 36% | 2.60 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga Nacional matches that day
- Xelajú vs Malacateco · 15 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Liga Nacional
Published pick: Xelajú Win @ 1.55 · FT 2–1 - Guastatoya vs Antigua GFC · 15 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC · Liga Nacional
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 1–1 - Comunicaciones vs Aurora · 14 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · Liga Nacional
Published pick: Comunicaciones Win @ 1.40 · FT 1–2