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League One · China
Wuxi Wugou vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Wuxi Wugou host Heilongjiang Lava Spring in the League One (China) on 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Wuxi Wugou 0–2 Heilongjiang Lava Spring.
Going into the match, Wuxi Wugou had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 13. Heilongjiang Lava Spring had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Wuxi Wugou's last 10 and 8 of Heilongjiang Lava Spring's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Wuxi Wugou averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1.45 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Heilongjiang Lava Spring averaged 1.46 scored and 2.31 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.14 goals from Wuxi Wugou and 1.17 from Heilongjiang Lava Spring. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 19%, against 41%, 28% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Wuxi Wugou (green) and Heilongjiang Lava Spring (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wuxi Wugou | WDWLW | 1.30 | 1.30 | 30% | 60% |
| Heilongjiang Lava Spring | LDDLL | 1.10 | 2.00 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 28 Jun 2026 · Heilongjiang Lava Spring 3–3 Wuxi Wugou
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 1X | 69% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other League One matches that day
- Guangxi Hengchen vs Changchun Yatai · 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–2 - Shenzhen Juniors vs Dalian Huayi · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 1–1 - Ningbo Professional vs Suzhou Dongwu · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.40 · FT 1–1 - Yanbian Longding vs Dongguan United · 17 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC · League One
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44