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III Liga - Group 1 · Poland
Weszlo vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Weszlo host Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki in the III Liga - Group 1 (Poland) on 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Weszlo 3–2 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki.
Going into the match, Weszlo had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 9. Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Weszlo's last 10 and 8 of Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Weszlo averaged 2.57 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki averaged 2.17 scored and 1.50 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.20 goals from Weszlo and 1.39 from Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 23%, against 47%, 24% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Weszlo (green) and Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weszlo | WLDWW | 2.30 | 0.90 | 50% | 50% |
| Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | LDLWW | 2.20 | 1.80 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.26 |
| Double Chance 1X | 70% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.48 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.55 |
| Weszlo Win | 46% | 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.35 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other III Liga - Group 1 matches that day
- Troszyn vs Ząbkovia Ząbki · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 1
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - Jagiellonia II vs Swit · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 1
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Widzew II · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 1
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 · FT 1–1