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III Liga - Group 1 · Poland
Jagiellonia II vs Swit prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Jagiellonia II host Swit in the III Liga - Group 1 (Poland) on 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Jagiellonia II had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 20. Swit had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Jagiellonia II's last 10 and 5 of Swit's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Jagiellonia II averaged 1.91 goals scored and 1.73 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Swit averaged 1.09 scored and 1.64 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.97 goals from Jagiellonia II and 1.73 from Swit. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 34%, against 44%, 23% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Jagiellonia II (green) and Swit (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jagiellonia II | LDLLW | 2.00 | 2.00 | 70% | 80% |
| Swit | LWWLL | 1.60 | 1.60 | 50% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Apr 2026 · Jagiellonia II 5–1 Swit
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.30 |
| Double Chance 1X | 67% | 1.36 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.63 |
| Jagiellonia II Win | 43% | 2.05 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 36% | 2.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other III Liga - Group 1 matches that day
- Weszlo vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 1
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.48 - Troszyn vs Ząbkovia Ząbki · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 1
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Widzew II · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 1
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 · FT 1–1