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III Liga - Group 1 · Poland
Lechia T. Mazowiecki vs Widzew II prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lechia T. Mazowiecki host Widzew II in the III Liga - Group 1 (Poland) on 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1–1 Widzew II.
Going into the match, Lechia T. Mazowiecki had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 22. Widzew II had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Lechia T. Mazowiecki's last 10 and 6 of Widzew II's last 10; 8 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lechia T. Mazowiecki averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.92 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Widzew II averaged 2.31 scored and 1.62 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.48 goals from Lechia T. Mazowiecki and 2.18 from Widzew II. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 53%, against 39%, 24% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lechia T. Mazowiecki (green) and Widzew II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lechia T. Mazowiecki | LLWLL | 1.90 | 2.20 | 80% | 80% |
| Widzew II | LDLLL | 1.70 | 2.00 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Apr 2026 · Lechia T. Mazowiecki 3–1 Widzew II
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.63 |
| Lechia T. Mazowiecki Win | 38% | 2.30 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 36% | 2.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other III Liga - Group 1 matches that day
- Weszlo vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 1
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.48 - Troszyn vs Ząbkovia Ząbki · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 1
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - Jagiellonia II vs Swit · 18 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · III Liga - Group 1
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40