Home › League stats › First NL › Vukovar vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo
First NL · Croatia
Vukovar vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 10:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Vukovar host Bsk Bijelo Brdo in the First NL (Croatia) on 24 Oct 2026, 10:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Vukovar had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 20. Bsk Bijelo Brdo had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Vukovar's last 10 and 6 of Bsk Bijelo Brdo's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Vukovar averaged 1.38 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Bsk Bijelo Brdo averaged 1.09 scored and 1.27 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.17 goals from Vukovar and 1.13 from Bsk Bijelo Brdo. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 34%, against 41%, 28% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Vukovar (green) and Bsk Bijelo Brdo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vukovar | LWLLL | 1.40 | 2.00 | 50% | 50% |
| Bsk Bijelo Brdo | DLDWL | 1.20 | 1.10 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Vukovar Win | 41% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other First NL matches that day
- Karlovac 1919 vs Orijent 1919 · 24 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · First NL
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Dugopolje vs Opatija · 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · First NL
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Segesta Sisak vs Croatia Zmijavci · 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · First NL
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30