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First NL · Croatia

Segesta Sisak vs Croatia Zmijavci prediction and preview

24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.30Market probability 71%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Segesta Sisak host Croatia Zmijavci in the First NL (Croatia) on 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Segesta Sisak had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 32 and conceding 12. Croatia Zmijavci had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 8 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Segesta Sisak's last 10 and 5 of Croatia Zmijavci's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Segesta Sisak averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.82 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Croatia Zmijavci averaged 1.00 scored and 0.88 conceded across 8.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.82 goals from Segesta Sisak and 1.14 from Croatia Zmijavci. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 23%, against 43%, 28% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Segesta Sisak (green) and Croatia Zmijavci (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form53% – 47%
Attack58% – 42%
Defence42% – 58%
Head-to-head0% – 100%
Goals43% – 57%
Overall strength47% – 52%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Segesta SisakWLDWW3.201.2060%60%
Croatia ZmijavciWWWLL1.700.8050%50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1X71%1.28
Over 1.5 Goals71%1.30
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals69%1.36
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals67%1.40
Under 2.5 Goals54%1.75
BTTS Yes51%1.83
Over 2.5 Goals46%2.05
Segesta Sisak Win43%2.10

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other First NL matches that day