Vitória SC vs FC Porto prediction and preview

8 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC · Estádio D. Afonso Henriques, Guimarães

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.33Market probability 70%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Vitória SC host FC Porto in the Primeira Liga (Portugal) on 8 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Vitória SC had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 6. FC Porto had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 9 conceded.

Both teams scored in 2 of Vitória SC's last 10 and 6 of FC Porto's last 10; 2 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Vitória SC averaged 1.83 goals scored and 0.42 conceded across 12 matches; away from home FC Porto averaged 2.00 scored and 1.10 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.69 goals from Vitória SC and 1.10 from FC Porto. From that it rates a home win at 22%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 44%, against 18%, 23% and 59% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 89%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Vitória SC (green) and FC Porto (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form25% – 75%

Attack33% – 67%

Defence38% – 63%

Head-to-head29% – 71%

Goals31% – 69%

Overall strength32% – 67%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Vitória SC	DWWLW	1.00	0.60	20%	20%
FC Porto	WWWWL	2.40	0.90	60%	70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	77%	1.22
Over 1.5 Goals	74%	1.25
Under 3.5 Goals	70%	1.33
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	68%	1.36
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	65%	1.44
FC Porto Win	60%	1.57
Over 8.5 Corners	56%	1.67
Over 2.5 Goals	51%	1.85

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.