Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente prediction and preview

8 Nov 2026, 15:30 UTC · Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada

The PunterPick prediction

Under 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.53Market probability 62%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Santa Clara host GIL Vicente in the Primeira Liga (Portugal) on 8 Nov 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Santa Clara had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 6. GIL Vicente had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Santa Clara's last 10 and 5 of GIL Vicente's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Santa Clara averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.58 conceded across 12 matches; away from home GIL Vicente averaged 0.88 scored and 1.63 conceded across 8.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.19 goals from Santa Clara and 0.55 from GIL Vicente. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 16%, against 42%, 30% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Santa Clara (green) and GIL Vicente (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form56% – 44%

Attack60% – 40%

Defence50% – 50%

Head-to-head80% – 20%

Goals64% – 36%

Overall strength63% – 37%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Santa Clara	WLDWD	1.50	0.60	40%	40%
GIL Vicente	DLLWD	0.80	1.30	50%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 1X	73%	1.30
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	73%	1.28
Over 1.5 Goals	63%	1.44
Under 2.5 Goals	62%	1.53
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	61%	1.53
BTTS No	55%	1.70
Santa Clara Win	43%	2.25
Under 1.5 Goals	37%	2.62

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.