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Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · Spain
Villarreal II vs Teruel prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Villarreal II host Teruel in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (Spain) on 17 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Villarreal II 2–0 Teruel.
Going into the match, Villarreal II had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 14. Teruel had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 5 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Villarreal II's last 10 and 3 of Teruel's last 10; 7 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Villarreal II averaged 1.44 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Teruel averaged 0.50 scored and 2.30 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.29 goals from Villarreal II and 0.44 from Teruel. From that it rates a home win at 79%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 5%, against 65%, 21% and 14% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal II | DLWDW | 1.80 | 1.40 | 60% | 70% |
| Teruel | WLDLL | 0.50 | 1.50 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| Villarreal II Win | 68% | 1.38 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Villarreal II form and statistics
- Teruel form and statistics
- Primera División RFEF - Group 2 statistics
Other Primera División RFEF - Group 2 matches that day
- Algeciras vs Hércules · 17 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 2–0 - Águilas vs Ibiza · 17 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 1–2