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Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · Spain
Águilas vs Ibiza prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Águilas host Ibiza in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (Spain) on 17 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Águilas 1–2 Ibiza.
Going into the match, Águilas had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 13. Ibiza had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Águilas's last 10 and 5 of Ibiza's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Águilas averaged 1.20 goals scored and 0.70 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Ibiza averaged 1.17 scored and 1.67 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.15 goals from Águilas and 1.55 from Ibiza. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 45%, against 32%, 30% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera División RFEF - Group 2 matches that day
- Algeciras vs Hércules · 17 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 2–0 - Villarreal II vs Teruel · 17 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.25 · FT 2–0