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Bundesliga · Germany
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen prediction and preview
7 Nov 2026, 17:30 UTC · MHP Arena, Stuttgart
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
VfB Stuttgart host Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga (Germany) on 7 Nov 2026, 17:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, VfB Stuttgart had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 9. Werder Bremen had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of VfB Stuttgart's last 10 and 8 of Werder Bremen's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home VfB Stuttgart averaged 2.33 goals scored and 1.08 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Werder Bremen averaged 2.30 scored and 1.80 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.70 goals from VfB Stuttgart and 1.20 from Werder Bremen. From that it rates a home win at 68%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 14%, against 59%, 20% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between VfB Stuttgart (green) and Werder Bremen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | LWWLD | 2.10 | 0.90 | 30% | 50% |
| Werder Bremen | WLWDD | 2.20 | 1.70 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Apr 2026 · VfB Stuttgart 1–1 Werder Bremen
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 69% | 1.36 |
| BTTS Yes | 68% | 1.40 |
| VfB Stuttgart Win | 60% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| VfB Stuttgart HT & FT | 41% | 2.38 |
| VfB Stuttgart Win & BTTS | 36% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Bundesliga matches that day
- Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg · 7 Nov 2026, 14:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: Borussia Dortmund Win @ 1.30 - RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg · 7 Nov 2026, 14:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München · 7 Nov 2026, 14:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt · 7 Nov 2026, 14:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40