Home › League stats › Bundesliga › Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg prediction and preview
7 Nov 2026, 14:30 UTC · Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Borussia Dortmund host SV Elversberg in the Bundesliga (Germany) on 7 Nov 2026, 14:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Borussia Dortmund Win — Borussia Dortmund to win. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 74% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Borussia Dortmund had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 9. SV Elversberg had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Borussia Dortmund's last 10 and 6 of SV Elversberg's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Borussia Dortmund averaged 2.36 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home SV Elversberg averaged 1.86 scored and 1.64 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.09 goals from Borussia Dortmund and 0.87 from SV Elversberg. From that it rates a home win at 65%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 14%, against 73%, 16% and 11% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Borussia Dortmund (green) and SV Elversberg (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | WDWWW | 1.60 | 0.90 | 50% | 60% |
| SV Elversberg | WLLWL | 1.70 | 2.00 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund Win | 75% | 1.30 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Borussia Dortmund 1st Half Win | 56% | 1.67 |
| Borussia Dortmund HT & FT | 54% | 1.80 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Bundesliga matches that day
- VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen · 7 Nov 2026, 17:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg · 7 Nov 2026, 14:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München · 7 Nov 2026, 14:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt · 7 Nov 2026, 14:30 UTC · Bundesliga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40