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MLS Next Pro · USA
Ventura County vs Minnesota United II prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ventura County host Minnesota United II in the MLS Next Pro (USA) on 17 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ventura County 2–2 Minnesota United II.
Going into the match, Ventura County had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 26 and conceding 9. Minnesota United II had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Ventura County's last 10 and 6 of Minnesota United II's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ventura County averaged 2.42 goals scored and 0.92 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Minnesota United II averaged 0.90 scored and 1.30 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.20 goals from Ventura County and 1.24 from Minnesota United II. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 20%, against 38%, 24% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ventura County (green) and Minnesota United II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ventura County | LWWDW | 2.60 | 0.90 | 60% | 70% |
| Minnesota United II | WDWWW | 1.80 | 1.00 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.38 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Double Chance 1X | 63% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
| Ventura County Win | 38% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other MLS Next Pro matches that day
- Columbus Crew II vs New England II · 17 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · MLS Next Pro
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–1 - Portland Timbers II vs St. Louis City II · 17 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC · MLS Next Pro
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 - Atlanta United II vs Connecticut FC · 16 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC · MLS Next Pro
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.33