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MLS Next Pro · USA
Atlanta United II vs Connecticut FC prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Atlanta United II host Connecticut FC in the MLS Next Pro (USA) on 16 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Atlanta United II to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Atlanta United II 0–1 Connecticut FC.
Going into the match, Atlanta United II had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 18. Connecticut FC had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 26 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Atlanta United II's last 10 and 8 of Connecticut FC's last 10; 8 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Atlanta United II averaged 2.75 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Connecticut FC averaged 2.10 scored and 1.80 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.43 goals from Atlanta United II and 1.82 from Connecticut FC. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 28%, against 46%, 23% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Atlanta United II (green) and Connecticut FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United II | WLWDW | 2.40 | 1.80 | 90% | 80% |
| Connecticut FC | WLLLW | 2.60 | 2.00 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Sep 2026 · Atlanta United II 4–1 Connecticut FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 67% | 1.33 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 67% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Atlanta United II Win | 42% | 1.95 |
| Atlanta United II HT & FT | 31% | 3.00 |
| 1-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other MLS Next Pro matches that day
- Columbus Crew II vs New England II · 17 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · MLS Next Pro
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–1 - Portland Timbers II vs St. Louis City II · 17 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC · MLS Next Pro
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 - Ventura County vs Minnesota United II · 17 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC · MLS Next Pro
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–2