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MLS Next Pro · USA
Portland Timbers II vs St. Louis City II prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Portland Timbers II host St. Louis City II in the MLS Next Pro (USA) on 17 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Portland Timbers II 2–0 St. Louis City II.
Going into the match, Portland Timbers II had won 5, drawn 5 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 7. St. Louis City II had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Portland Timbers II's last 10 and 6 of St. Louis City II's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Portland Timbers II averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 11 matches; away from home St. Louis City II averaged 1.08 scored and 1.58 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.65 goals from Portland Timbers II and 0.64 from St. Louis City II. From that it rates a home win at 61%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 13%, against 37%, 25% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 39%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Portland Timbers II (green) and St. Louis City II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Timbers II | DDDWD | 1.40 | 0.70 | 60% | 50% |
| St. Louis City II | LDWDD | 1.30 | 1.00 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 14 Sep 2026 · Portland Timbers II 1–1 St. Louis City II
- 19 Jul 2026 · St. Louis City II 1–2 Portland Timbers II
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.22 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.15 |
| St. Louis City II Win | 37% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other MLS Next Pro matches that day
- Columbus Crew II vs New England II · 17 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · MLS Next Pro
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–1 - Ventura County vs Minnesota United II · 17 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC · MLS Next Pro
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–2 - Atlanta United II vs Connecticut FC · 16 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC · MLS Next Pro
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.33