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Allsvenskan · Sweden
Vasteras SK FK vs Mjallby AIF prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Vasteras SK FK host Mjallby AIF in the Allsvenskan (Sweden) on 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Vasteras SK FK 1–0 Mjallby AIF.
Going into the match, Vasteras SK FK had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Mjallby AIF had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 6 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Vasteras SK FK's last 10 and 4 of Mjallby AIF's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Vasteras SK FK averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Mjallby AIF averaged 1.27 scored and 1.87 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.54 goals from Vasteras SK FK and 0.99 from Mjallby AIF. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 23%, against 40%, 28% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Vasteras SK FK (green) and Mjallby AIF (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasteras SK FK | LLWWL | 1.20 | 0.90 | 30% | 40% |
| Mjallby AIF | WDLLD | 0.60 | 2.00 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 Jul 2026 · Mjallby AIF 0–0 Vasteras SK FK
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Allsvenskan matches that day
- Halmstad vs Hammarby FF · 18 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · Allsvenskan
Published pick: Hammarby FF Win @ 1.25 · FT 0–1 - Malmo FF vs BK Hacken · 18 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · Allsvenskan
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 0–1 - Orgryte IS vs Gais · 18 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · Allsvenskan
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 4–2 - Sirius vs IF Elfsborg · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Allsvenskan
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44