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Allsvenskan · Sweden
Orgryte IS vs Gais prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Orgryte IS host Gais in the Allsvenskan (Sweden) on 18 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Orgryte IS 4–2 Gais.
Going into the match, Orgryte IS had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 20. Gais had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Orgryte IS's last 10 and 0 of Gais's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Orgryte IS averaged 1.60 goals scored and 1.90 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Gais averaged 1.50 scored and 1.64 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.05 goals from Orgryte IS and 1.90 from Gais. From that it rates a home win at 20%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 56%, against 19%, 23% and 58% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Orgryte IS (green) and Gais (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orgryte IS | LLLDL | 1.20 | 2.00 | 70% | 60% |
| Gais | LWLDW | 1.60 | 1.20 | 0% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 May 2026 · Gais 4–0 Orgryte IS
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Gais Win | 57% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Allsvenskan matches that day
- Halmstad vs Hammarby FF · 18 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · Allsvenskan
Published pick: Hammarby FF Win @ 1.25 · FT 0–1 - Malmo FF vs BK Hacken · 18 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · Allsvenskan
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 0–1 - Sirius vs IF Elfsborg · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Allsvenskan
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Vasteras SK FK vs Mjallby AIF · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Allsvenskan
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 1–0