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Canadian Premier League · Canada
Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers FC prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Vancouver FC host HFX Wanderers FC in the Canadian Premier League (Canada) on 17 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Vancouver FC 2–1 HFX Wanderers FC.
Going into the match, Vancouver FC had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 19. HFX Wanderers FC had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Vancouver FC's last 10 and 7 of HFX Wanderers FC's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Vancouver FC averaged 1.71 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 14 matches; away from home HFX Wanderers FC averaged 1.38 scored and 2.08 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.95 goals from Vancouver FC and 1.24 from HFX Wanderers FC. From that it rates a home win at 53%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 23%, against 45%, 25% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Vancouver FC (green) and HFX Wanderers FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vancouver FC | DDDDL | 1.20 | 1.90 | 70% | 50% |
| HFX Wanderers FC | DDLWW | 2.00 | 2.00 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 22 Aug 2026 · HFX Wanderers FC 1–0 Vancouver FC
- 30 May 2026 · HFX Wanderers FC 1–0 Vancouver FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Vancouver FC Win | 45% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Vancouver FC form and statistics
- HFX Wanderers FC form and statistics
- Canadian Premier League statistics
Other Canadian Premier League matches that day
- Cavalry FC vs Pacific FC · 17 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Canadian Premier League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.83 - Atlético Ottawa vs Forge · 17 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · Canadian Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 1–2 - Supra du Quebec vs York United · 16 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · Canadian Premier League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 3–0