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Supra du Quebec vs York United prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Supra du Quebec host York United in the Canadian Premier League (Canada) on 16 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Supra du Quebec 3–0 York United.
Going into the match, Supra du Quebec had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 16. York United had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 26 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Supra du Quebec's last 10 and 9 of York United's last 10; 5 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Supra du Quebec averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.38 conceded across 16 matches; away from home York United averaged 0.92 scored and 2.38 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.91 goals from Supra du Quebec and 1.41 from York United. From that it rates a home win at 68%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 16%, against 60%, 22% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Supra du Quebec (green) and York United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Supra du Quebec | DWWLW | 1.50 | 1.60 | 40% | 50% |
| York United | LLWLD | 1.90 | 2.60 | 90% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 7 Oct 2026 · York United 1–2 Supra du Quebec
- 23 Aug 2026 · York United 1–1 Supra du Quebec
- 30 May 2026 · Supra du Quebec 3–1 York United
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 68% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.50 |
| Supra du Quebec Win | 62% | 1.50 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Supra du Quebec form and statistics
- York United form and statistics
- Canadian Premier League statistics
Other Canadian Premier League matches that day
- Cavalry FC vs Pacific FC · 17 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Canadian Premier League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.83 - Atlético Ottawa vs Forge · 17 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · Canadian Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 1–2 - Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers FC · 17 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC · Canadian Premier League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 2–1