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Canadian Premier League · Canada
Atlético Ottawa vs Forge prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Atlético Ottawa host Forge in the Canadian Premier League (Canada) on 17 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Atlético Ottawa 1–2 Forge.
Going into the match, Atlético Ottawa had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 12. Forge had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Atlético Ottawa's last 10 and 5 of Forge's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Atlético Ottawa averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Forge averaged 1.43 scored and 0.93 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.06 goals from Atlético Ottawa and 1.50 from Forge. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 46%, against 21%, 25% and 54% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Atlético Ottawa (green) and Forge (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Ottawa | WWWLL | 1.50 | 1.20 | 40% | 60% |
| Forge | WWDDD | 1.90 | 0.80 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 Sep 2026 · Forge 3–0 Atlético Ottawa
- 24 May 2026 · Atlético Ottawa 2–1 Forge
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Forge Win | 54% | 1.65 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Canadian Premier League matches that day
- Cavalry FC vs Pacific FC · 17 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Canadian Premier League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.83 - Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers FC · 17 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC · Canadian Premier League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 2–1 - Supra du Quebec vs York United · 16 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · Canadian Premier League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 3–0