Valur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XOdds 1.44Market probability 66%Final score 4–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Valur Reykjavik host KA Akureyri in the Úrvalsdeild (Iceland) on 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Valur Reykjavik to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Valur Reykjavik 4–1 KA Akureyri.

Going into the match, Valur Reykjavik had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 24. KA Akureyri had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 19 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Valur Reykjavik's last 10 and 4 of KA Akureyri's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Valur Reykjavik averaged 2.00 goals scored and 2.33 conceded across 15 matches; away from home KA Akureyri averaged 1.69 scored and 2.31 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.49 goals from Valur Reykjavik and 1.68 from KA Akureyri. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 25%, against 42%, 23% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Valur Reykjavik (green) and KA Akureyri (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form44% – 56%

Attack55% – 45%

Defence38% – 63%

Head-to-head71% – 29%

Goals62% – 38%

Overall strength53% – 47%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Valur Reykjavik	LDWWD	1.90	2.40	70%	70%
KA Akureyri	WWLWD	1.70	1.90	40%	80%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

17 Aug 2026 · Valur Reykjavik 4–4 KA Akureyri
22 May 2026 · KA Akureyri 0–1 Valur Reykjavik

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Under 8.5 Corners	74%	1.21
Double Chance 1X	66%	1.44
BTTS 1st Half - No	65%	1.44
1st Half Over 1.5 Goals	54%	1.73
Valur Reykjavik Win	43%	2.10
Valur Reykjavik HT & FT	28%	3.25
2-2	9%	10.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.