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Segunda División · Spain
Valladolid vs Eldense prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Valladolid host Eldense in the Segunda División (Spain) on 18 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Valladolid 2–3 Eldense.
Going into the match, Valladolid had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 13. Eldense had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Valladolid's last 10 and 4 of Eldense's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Valladolid averaged 1.60 goals scored and 0.70 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Eldense averaged 0.55 scored and 1.64 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.83 goals from Valladolid and 1.11 from Eldense. From that it rates a home win at 53%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 22%, against 51%, 28% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Valladolid (green) and Eldense (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valladolid | WDWDL | 1.70 | 1.30 | 50% | 50% |
| Eldense | WWLLW | 1.00 | 1.20 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 77% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Valladolid Win | 51% | 1.85 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Segunda División matches that day
- Burgos vs Sabadell · 18 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.48 · FT 1–0 - Girona vs FC Andorra · 18 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Granada CF vs Cadiz · 18 Oct 2026, 14:15 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 · FT 2–0 - AD Ceuta FC vs Oviedo · 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.36