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Segunda División · Spain
AD Ceuta FC vs Oviedo prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
AD Ceuta FC host Oviedo in the Segunda División (Spain) on 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: AD Ceuta FC 1–2 Oviedo.
Going into the match, AD Ceuta FC had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 21. Oviedo had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of AD Ceuta FC's last 10 and 4 of Oviedo's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home AD Ceuta FC averaged 0.91 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Oviedo averaged 1.11 scored and 1.89 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.94 goals from AD Ceuta FC and 1.44 from Oviedo. From that it rates a home win at 23%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 48%, against 30%, 29% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between AD Ceuta FC (green) and Oviedo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AD Ceuta FC | LDWDL | 1.00 | 2.10 | 70% | 60% |
| Oviedo | WLWLW | 1.40 | 1.10 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Double Chance X2 | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.75 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Segunda División matches that day
- Burgos vs Sabadell · 18 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.48 · FT 1–0 - Girona vs FC Andorra · 18 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Valladolid vs Eldense · 18 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30 · FT 2–3 - Granada CF vs Cadiz · 18 Oct 2026, 14:15 UTC · Segunda División
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 · FT 2–0