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Eredivisie · Netherlands
Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen prediction and preview
8 Nov 2026, 19:00 UTC · Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Utrecht host NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie (Netherlands) on 8 Nov 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Utrecht had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 25. NEC Nijmegen had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Utrecht's last 10 and 7 of NEC Nijmegen's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Utrecht averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.92 conceded across 12 matches; away from home NEC Nijmegen averaged 1.31 scored and 1.85 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.46 goals from Utrecht and 2.18 from NEC Nijmegen. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 53%, against 39%, 25% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Utrecht (green) and NEC Nijmegen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utrecht | LWDWW | 1.80 | 2.50 | 80% | 80% |
| NEC Nijmegen | WLDWD | 1.40 | 1.90 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Eredivisie matches that day
- Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven · 8 Nov 2026, 15:45 UTC · Eredivisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen · 8 Nov 2026, 15:45 UTC · Eredivisie
Published pick: Over 3.5 Goals @ 2.00 - Twente vs Ajax · 8 Nov 2026, 13:30 UTC · Eredivisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 - Heerenveen vs Feyenoord · 8 Nov 2026, 11:15 UTC · Eredivisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44