Home › League stats › Eredivisie › Twente vs Ajax
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Twente vs Ajax prediction and preview
8 Nov 2026, 13:30 UTC · De Grolsch Veste, Enschede
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Twente host Ajax in the Eredivisie (Netherlands) on 8 Nov 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Twente had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 27 and conceding 7. Ajax had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 30 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Twente's last 10 and 8 of Ajax's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Twente averaged 2.13 goals scored and 0.87 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Ajax averaged 3.08 scored and 1.00 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.86 goals from Twente and 1.99 from Ajax. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 41%, against 42%, 25% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Twente (green) and Ajax (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.48 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 55% | 1.67 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Eredivisie matches that day
- Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen · 8 Nov 2026, 19:00 UTC · Eredivisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven · 8 Nov 2026, 15:45 UTC · Eredivisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen · 8 Nov 2026, 15:45 UTC · Eredivisie
Published pick: Over 3.5 Goals @ 2.00 - Heerenveen vs Feyenoord · 8 Nov 2026, 11:15 UTC · Eredivisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44