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NWSL Women · USA
Utah Royals W vs Kansas City W prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Utah Royals W host Kansas City W in the NWSL Women (USA) on 17 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Utah Royals W 0–2 Kansas City W.
Going into the match, Utah Royals W had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 17. Kansas City W had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Utah Royals W's last 10 and 9 of Kansas City W's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Utah Royals W averaged 1.73 goals scored and 1.36 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Kansas City W averaged 0.91 scored and 1.73 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.38 goals from Utah Royals W and 1.78 from Kansas City W. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 46%, against 28%, 24% and 48% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Royals W | DWLWL | 1.80 | 1.70 | 80% | 80% |
| Kansas City W | WWLDW | 2.00 | 1.40 | 90% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other NWSL Women matches that day
- Houston Dash W vs Orlando Pride W · 18 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · NWSL Women
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Denver Summit W vs Angel City W · 18 Oct 2026, 00:45 UTC · NWSL Women
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–3 - North Carolina Courage W vs San Diego Wave W · 17 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · NWSL Women
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57