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NWSL Women · USA
North Carolina Courage W vs San Diego Wave W prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
North Carolina Courage W host San Diego Wave W in the NWSL Women (USA) on 17 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: North Carolina Courage W 1–2 San Diego Wave W.
Going into the match, North Carolina Courage W had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 16. San Diego Wave W had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of North Carolina Courage W's last 10 and 5 of San Diego Wave W's last 10; 8 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home North Carolina Courage W averaged 2.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 10 matches; away from home San Diego Wave W averaged 1.45 scored and 1.09 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.49 goals from North Carolina Courage W and 1.51 from San Diego Wave W. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 37%, against 39%, 25% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Courage W | WLLLW | 2.20 | 1.60 | 70% | 80% |
| San Diego Wave W | WWWWL | 1.70 | 0.90 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 Sep 2026 · San Diego Wave W 2–1 North Carolina Courage W
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- North Carolina Courage W form and statistics
- San Diego Wave W form and statistics
- NWSL Women statistics
Other NWSL Women matches that day
- Houston Dash W vs Orlando Pride W · 18 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · NWSL Women
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Denver Summit W vs Angel City W · 18 Oct 2026, 00:45 UTC · NWSL Women
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–3 - Utah Royals W vs Kansas City W · 17 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC · NWSL Women
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50