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NWSL Women · USA
Houston Dash W vs Orlando Pride W prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Houston Dash W host Orlando Pride W in the NWSL Women (USA) on 18 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Houston Dash W 1–2 Orlando Pride W.
Going into the match, Houston Dash W had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 14. Orlando Pride W had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Houston Dash W's last 10 and 8 of Orlando Pride W's last 10; 5 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Houston Dash W averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Orlando Pride W averaged 1.09 scored and 1.91 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.43 goals from Houston Dash W and 1.31 from Orlando Pride W. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 33%, against 32%, 26% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Houston Dash W (green) and Orlando Pride W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Dash W | LDWLL | 1.50 | 1.40 | 60% | 50% |
| Orlando Pride W | LWLDW | 1.40 | 2.20 | 80% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 7 Sep 2026 · Orlando Pride W 3–1 Houston Dash W
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other NWSL Women matches that day
- Denver Summit W vs Angel City W · 18 Oct 2026, 00:45 UTC · NWSL Women
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–3 - North Carolina Courage W vs San Diego Wave W · 17 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · NWSL Women
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 - Utah Royals W vs Kansas City W · 17 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC · NWSL Women
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50