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Ligue 1 · Tunisia
US Monastirienne vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
US Monastirienne host Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer in the Ligue 1 (Tunisia) on 18 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: US Monastirienne 1–0 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer.
Going into the match, US Monastirienne had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer had won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 5 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of US Monastirienne's last 10 and 4 of Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home US Monastirienne averaged 1.43 goals scored and 0.71 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer averaged 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.90 goals from US Monastirienne and 0.96 from Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 34%, against 49%, 31% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between US Monastirienne (green) and Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Monastirienne | DWDWD | 1.20 | 0.90 | 30% | 40% |
| Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer | WDWDW | 1.80 | 0.50 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 69% | 1.33 |
| BTTS No | 62% | 1.48 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 56% | 1.65 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| US Monastirienne Win | 49% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.88 |
| US Monastirienne HT & FT | 31% | 3.00 |
| 1-0 | 20% | 4.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ligue 1 matches that day
- AS Marsa vs ES Metlaoui · 18 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.40 - CS Hammam-Lif vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane · 18 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.25 - Olympique Béja vs ES Sahel · 18 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 1–2