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Primera B · Colombia
Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo prediction and preview
15 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Union Magdalena host Ind. Yumbo in the Primera B (Colombia) on 15 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Union Magdalena to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Union Magdalena 1–1 Ind. Yumbo.
Going into the match, Union Magdalena had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 13. Ind. Yumbo had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Union Magdalena's last 10 and 2 of Ind. Yumbo's last 10; 5 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Union Magdalena averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.09 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Ind. Yumbo averaged 1.13 scored and 0.75 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.94 goals from Union Magdalena and 1.03 from Ind. Yumbo. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 35%, against 49%, 28% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Union Magdalena (green) and Ind. Yumbo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Magdalena | DDWDD | 1.30 | 1.30 | 80% | 50% |
| Ind. Yumbo | DWWLW | 1.30 | 0.60 | 20% | 10% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.77 |
| Union Magdalena Win | 46% | 1.91 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
| Union Magdalena HT & FT | 32% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| 1-0 | 15% | 6.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera B matches that day
- Quindio vs Real Cartagena · 16 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC · Primera B
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.33 · FT 1–1 - Internacional Palmira vs Orsomarso · 15 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · Primera B
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 · FT 1–1 - Leones FC vs Patriotas · 15 Oct 2026, 22:15 UTC · Primera B
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.36 · FT 1–0 - Barranquilla vs Tigres FC · 15 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC · Primera B
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.30 · FT 2–2