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Primera B · Colombia
Internacional Palmira vs Orsomarso prediction and preview
15 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Internacional Palmira host Orsomarso in the Primera B (Colombia) on 15 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Internacional Palmira 1–1 Orsomarso.
Going into the match, Internacional Palmira had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Orsomarso had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Internacional Palmira's last 10 and 2 of Orsomarso's last 10; 2 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Internacional Palmira averaged 0.82 goals scored and 0.82 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Orsomarso averaged 0.63 scored and 1.25 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.69 goals from Internacional Palmira and 0.58 from Orsomarso. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 43% and an away win at 25%, against 52%, 29% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 86%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Internacional Palmira (green) and Orsomarso (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional Palmira | DLWWW | 0.80 | 1.00 | 40% | 20% |
| Orsomarso | WLDLD | 0.70 | 1.10 | 20% | 10% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.36 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.71 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
| Internacional Palmira Win | 51% | 1.80 |
| Internacional Palmira HT & FT | 35% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
| 1-0 | 16% | 6.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera B matches that day
- Quindio vs Real Cartagena · 16 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC · Primera B
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.33 · FT 1–1 - Leones FC vs Patriotas · 15 Oct 2026, 22:15 UTC · Primera B
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.36 · FT 1–0 - Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo · 15 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC · Primera B
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 · FT 1–1 - Barranquilla vs Tigres FC · 15 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC · Primera B
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.30 · FT 2–2