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Primera B · Colombia
Quindio vs Real Cartagena prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Quindio host Real Cartagena in the Primera B (Colombia) on 16 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Quindio 1–1 Real Cartagena.
Going into the match, Quindio had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Real Cartagena had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Quindio's last 10 and 5 of Real Cartagena's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Quindio averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Real Cartagena averaged 1.33 scored and 1.25 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.04 goals from Quindio and 1.25 from Real Cartagena. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 40%, against 38%, 29% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Quindio (green) and Real Cartagena (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quindio | LWWLL | 0.90 | 1.00 | 40% | 30% |
| Real Cartagena | DLDDL | 1.50 | 1.40 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.65 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.82 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.20 |
| Quindio Win | 38% | 2.50 |
| 1-0 | 13% | 7.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera B matches that day
- Internacional Palmira vs Orsomarso · 15 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · Primera B
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 · FT 1–1 - Leones FC vs Patriotas · 15 Oct 2026, 22:15 UTC · Primera B
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.36 · FT 1–0 - Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo · 15 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC · Primera B
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.22 · FT 1–1 - Barranquilla vs Tigres FC · 15 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC · Primera B
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.30 · FT 2–2