Udinese vs AS Roma prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.50Market probability 63%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Udinese host AS Roma in the Serie A (Italy) on 31 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Udinese had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 19. AS Roma had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Udinese's last 10 and 6 of AS Roma's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Udinese averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 15 matches; away from home AS Roma averaged 2.08 scored and 1.46 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.89 goals from Udinese and 2.36 from AS Roma. From that it rates a home win at 12%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 69%, against 16%, 23% and 61% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Udinese (green) and AS Roma (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form10% – 90%

Attack8% – 92%

Defence47% – 53%

Head-to-head20% – 80%

Goals25% – 75%

Overall strength19% – 80%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Udinese	DLLLD	1.10	1.90	60%	60%
AS Roma	WDWWL	2.30	1.30	60%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Over 1.5 Goals	80%	1.20
Double Chance 12	78%	1.22
BTTS 1st Half - No	77%	1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	72%	1.30
Under 3.5 Goals	63%	1.50
AS Roma Win	61%	1.53
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	61%	1.53
Over 2.5 Goals	59%	1.62

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.