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Serie A · Italy
Bologna vs Monza prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bologna host Monza in the Serie A (Italy) on 31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Bologna Win — Bologna to win. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 54% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Bologna had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 13. Monza had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Bologna's last 10 and 8 of Monza's last 10; 4 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bologna averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.83 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Monza averaged 1.75 scored and 1.75 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.08 goals from Bologna and 1.51 from Monza. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 27%, against 56%, 26% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 50%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bologna (green) and Monza (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Bologna Win | 55% | 1.67 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie A matches that day
- AC Milan vs Inter · 31 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Udinese vs AS Roma · 31 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50