Home › League stats › Serie A › Bologna vs Monza

Serie A · Italy

Bologna vs Monza prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Bologna WinOdds 1.67Market probability 54%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Bologna host Monza in the Serie A (Italy) on 31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Bologna Win — Bologna to win. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 54% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Bologna had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 13. Monza had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 20 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Bologna's last 10 and 8 of Monza's last 10; 4 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bologna averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.83 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Monza averaged 1.75 scored and 1.75 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.08 goals from Bologna and 1.51 from Monza. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 27%, against 56%, 26% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 50%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Bologna (green) and Monza (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form63% – 38%
Attack50% – 50%
Defence61% – 39%
Head-to-head85% – 15%
Goals82% – 18%
Overall strength65% – 34%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
BolognaWWLWD1.201.3050%40%
MonzaLLWLD1.802.0080%80%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1275%1.28
Over 1.5 Goals75%1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals70%1.33
Under 3.5 Goals69%1.36
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals65%1.44
Bologna Win55%1.67
Over 8.5 Corners54%1.73
BTTS Yes53%1.80

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other Serie A matches that day