AC Milan vs Inter prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.53Market probability 63%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

AC Milan host Inter in the Serie A (Italy) on 31 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, AC Milan had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 15. Inter had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of AC Milan's last 10 and 6 of Inter's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home AC Milan averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.56 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Inter averaged 1.92 scored and 1.08 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.22 goals from AC Milan and 1.89 from Inter. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 52%, against 27%, 26% and 47% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between AC Milan (green) and Inter (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form43% – 57%

Attack48% – 52%

Defence36% – 64%

Head-to-head85% – 15%

Goals78% – 22%

Overall strength54% – 45%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
AC Milan	LWLWW	1.80	1.50	50%	60%
Inter	WWWWL	2.40	1.30	60%	70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

5 Aug 2026 · AC Milan 1–1 Inter

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Over 1.5 Goals	79%	1.20
BTTS 1st Half - No	75%	1.25
Double Chance X2	73%	1.28
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	73%	1.28
Under 3.5 Goals	63%	1.53
BTTS Yes	61%	1.57
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	61%	1.53
Over 2.5 Goals	58%	1.62

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.