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Ettan - Södra · Sweden
Tvååker vs Rosengård prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tvååker host Rosengård in the Ettan - Södra (Sweden) on 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Tvååker 1–1 Rosengård.
Going into the match, Tvååker had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 17. Rosengård had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Tvååker's last 10 and 7 of Rosengård's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tvååker averaged 1.15 goals scored and 1.23 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Rosengård averaged 1.14 scored and 1.29 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.52 goals from Tvååker and 1.47 from Rosengård. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 36%, against 32%, 25% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tvååker (green) and Rosengård (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 May 2026 · Rosengård 0–1 Tvååker
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 79% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ettan - Södra matches that day
- Atvidabergs FF vs Hässleholms IF · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Ettan - Södra
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 1–2 - Jonkopings Sodra vs AFC Malmo · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Ettan - Södra
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 · FT 2–1 - Skövde AIK vs Eskilsminne · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Ettan - Södra
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Angelholms FF vs Laholm · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Ettan - Södra
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50