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Ettan - Södra · Sweden
Jonkopings Sodra vs AFC Malmo prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Jonkopings Sodra host AFC Malmo in the Ettan - Södra (Sweden) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.73, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Jonkopings Sodra 2–1 AFC Malmo.
Going into the match, Jonkopings Sodra had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 8. AFC Malmo had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Jonkopings Sodra's last 10 and 7 of AFC Malmo's last 10; 2 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Jonkopings Sodra averaged 1.62 goals scored and 0.62 conceded across 13 matches; away from home AFC Malmo averaged 1.86 scored and 1.36 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.17 goals from Jonkopings Sodra and 1.12 from AFC Malmo. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 33%, against 46%, 25% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 48%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Jonkopings Sodra (green) and AFC Malmo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonkopings Sodra | LLLWW | 0.50 | 0.80 | 10% | 20% |
| AFC Malmo | WWWWL | 1.80 | 1.70 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 27 Jun 2026 · AFC Malmo 1–0 Jonkopings Sodra
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 48% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ettan - Södra matches that day
- Atvidabergs FF vs Hässleholms IF · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Ettan - Södra
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 1–2 - Skövde AIK vs Eskilsminne · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Ettan - Södra
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Angelholms FF vs Laholm · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Ettan - Södra
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Tvååker vs Rosengård · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Ettan - Södra
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44