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Ettan - Södra · Sweden
Atvidabergs FF vs Hässleholms IF prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Atvidabergs FF host Hässleholms IF in the Ettan - Södra (Sweden) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Atvidabergs FF 1–2 Hässleholms IF.
Going into the match, Atvidabergs FF had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 15. Hässleholms IF had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Atvidabergs FF's last 10 and 5 of Hässleholms IF's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Atvidabergs FF averaged 2.42 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Hässleholms IF averaged 1.71 scored and 1.21 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.34 goals from Atvidabergs FF and 1.40 from Hässleholms IF. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 37%, against 51%, 24% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Atvidabergs FF (green) and Hässleholms IF (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atvidabergs FF | DDWWL | 1.80 | 1.50 | 80% | 60% |
| Hässleholms IF | WWLLW | 1.30 | 0.80 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 1 Aug 2026 · Hässleholms IF 2–0 Atvidabergs FF
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ettan - Södra matches that day
- Jonkopings Sodra vs AFC Malmo · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Ettan - Södra
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 · FT 2–1 - Skövde AIK vs Eskilsminne · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Ettan - Södra
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 - Angelholms FF vs Laholm · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Ettan - Södra
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Tvååker vs Rosengård · 17 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Ettan - Södra
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44