Home › League stats › Liga 3 › Trofense vs AD Marco 09
Liga 3 · Portugal
Trofense vs AD Marco 09 prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Trofense host AD Marco 09 in the Liga 3 (Portugal) on 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — AD Marco 09 to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Trofense had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 22. AD Marco 09 had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Trofense's last 10 and 2 of AD Marco 09's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Trofense averaged 0.50 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 6 matches; away from home AD Marco 09 averaged 0.63 scored and 1.50 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.69 goals from Trofense and 0.94 from AD Marco 09. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 37% and an away win at 39%, against 24%, 29% and 48% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trofense | LDLDL | 0.60 | 2.20 | 40% | 50% |
| AD Marco 09 | DLLWW | 0.80 | 0.80 | 20% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 76% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.52 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.69 |
| AD Marco 09 Win | 48% | 1.85 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 44% | 2.10 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.38 |
| AD Marco 09 HT & FT | 30% | 3.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga 3 matches that day
- Oliveirense vs CF Os Belenenses · 31 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · Liga 3
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Leça vs Varzim · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Liga 3
Published pick: Varzim Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.41 - Mafra vs Louletano · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Liga 3
Published pick: Mafra Win @ 1.65