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Liga 3 · Portugal

Leça vs Varzim prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Estadio do Leca Futebol Clube, Leca da Palmeira

The PunterPick prediction

Varzim Over 0.5 GoalsOdds 1.41Market probability 66%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Leça host Varzim in the Liga 3 (Portugal) on 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Varzim Over 0.5 Goals — Varzim Over 0.5 Goals. It was published at odds of 1.41, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Leça had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Varzim had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 14 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Leça's last 10 and 7 of Varzim's last 10; 3 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Leça averaged 1.44 goals scored and 0.78 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Varzim averaged 1.22 scored and 1.00 conceded across 9.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.78 goals from Leça and 1.15 from Varzim. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 23%, against 42%, 28% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices.

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
LeçaLWWWW1.200.9030%30%
VarzimLLLLL1.801.4070%70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1272%1.28
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals68%1.38
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals67%1.40
BTTS Yes53%1.69
Under 2.5 Goals52%1.80
Over 2.5 Goals48%2.00
2nd Half Higher Goals47%2.00
Leça Win41%2.15

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

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