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Liga 3 · Portugal
Mafra vs Louletano prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Estadio Municipal de Mafra, Mafra
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Mafra host Louletano in the Liga 3 (Portugal) on 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Mafra Win — Mafra to win. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Mafra had won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 15. Louletano had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Mafra's last 10 and 5 of Louletano's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Mafra averaged 1.89 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Louletano averaged 1.25 scored and 0.88 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.96 goals from Mafra and 1.04 from Louletano. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 19%, against 54%, 26% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.37 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Mafra Win | 56% | 1.65 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.82 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 46% | 2.02 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga 3 matches that day
- Oliveirense vs CF Os Belenenses · 31 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · Liga 3
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 - Leça vs Varzim · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Liga 3
Published pick: Varzim Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.41 - Trofense vs AD Marco 09 · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Liga 3
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.20