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Primera Nacional · Argentina
Tristan Suarez vs Deportivo Maipu prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Estadio 20 de Octubre, Tristan Suarez
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Tristan Suarez host Deportivo Maipu in the Primera Nacional (Argentina) on 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Tristan Suarez had won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 3. Deportivo Maipu had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Tristan Suarez's last 10 and 4 of Deportivo Maipu's last 10; 1 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Tristan Suarez averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.38 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Deportivo Maipu averaged 1.15 scored and 1.00 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.96 goals from Tristan Suarez and 0.42 from Deportivo Maipu. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 38% and an away win at 15%, against 58%, 27% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 84%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Tristan Suarez (green) and Deportivo Maipu (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Suarez | DWDDW | 0.60 | 0.30 | 20% | 10% |
| Deportivo Maipu | WLDWW | 1.00 | 0.70 | 40% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 14 Jun 2026 · Deportivo Maipu 0–1 Tristan Suarez
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.30 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 65% | 1.42 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 60% | 1.59 |
| Tristan Suarez Win | 59% | 1.60 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Tristan Suarez HT & FT | 38% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera Nacional matches that day
- Chaco For Ever vs Racing Cordoba · 31 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Chaco For Ever Draw No Bet @ 1.25 - Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar · 31 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.48 - Los Andes vs Atletico Mitre · 31 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.48 - Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste · 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.22 - Agropecuario vs Almagro · 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Almagro Under 1.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Atlanta vs Midland · 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Atlanta Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Club Atlético Güemes vs Temperley · 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.25 - Godoy Cruz vs Almirante Brown · 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.22 - San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy · 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: San Martin S.J. Win @ 1.48 - San Miguel vs Deportivo Madryn · 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals - San Telmo vs Central Norte · 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals