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Primera Nacional · Argentina
Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · La Quema Stadium, Boulogne Sur Mer
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Acassuso host Ferro Carril Oeste in the Primera Nacional (Argentina) on 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Acassuso had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Ferro Carril Oeste had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Acassuso's last 10 and 2 of Ferro Carril Oeste's last 10; 2 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Acassuso averaged 0.57 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Ferro Carril Oeste averaged 1.25 scored and 0.92 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.88 goals from Acassuso and 0.73 from Ferro Carril Oeste. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 38% and an away win at 27%, against 7%, 18% and 75% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Acassuso (green) and Ferro Carril Oeste (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Acassuso | DDWLW | 0.70 | 0.50 | 10% | 20% |
| Ferro Carril Oeste | LWDLW | 0.70 | 0.80 | 20% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 14 Jun 2026 · Ferro Carril Oeste 2–1 Acassuso
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 80% | 1.22 |
| Ferro Carril Oeste Win | 72% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.29 |
| BTTS No | 69% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.53 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Ferro Carril Oeste HT & FT | 46% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera Nacional matches that day
- Chaco For Ever vs Racing Cordoba · 31 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Chaco For Ever Draw No Bet @ 1.25 - Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar · 31 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.48 - Los Andes vs Atletico Mitre · 31 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.48 - Agropecuario vs Almagro · 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Almagro Under 1.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Atlanta vs Midland · 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Atlanta Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Club Atlético Güemes vs Temperley · 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.25 - Godoy Cruz vs Almirante Brown · 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.22 - San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy · 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: San Martin S.J. Win @ 1.48 - San Miguel vs Deportivo Madryn · 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals - San Telmo vs Central Norte · 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals - Tristan Suarez vs Deportivo Maipu · 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.44