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Primera Nacional · Argentina
Deportivo Moron vs Ciudad de Bolívar prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano, Moron
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Deportivo Moron host Ciudad de Bolívar in the Primera Nacional (Argentina) on 31 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Deportivo Moron had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 13. Ciudad de Bolívar had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Deportivo Moron's last 10 and 4 of Ciudad de Bolívar's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Deportivo Moron averaged 1.79 goals scored and 0.86 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Ciudad de Bolívar averaged 0.83 scored and 1.00 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.66 goals from Deportivo Moron and 0.80 from Ciudad de Bolívar. From that it rates a home win at 57%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 17%, against 54%, 29% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Deportivo Moron (green) and Ciudad de Bolívar (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Moron | LLLWL | 1.00 | 1.30 | 60% | 60% |
| Ciudad de Bolívar | LWWWW | 0.90 | 0.90 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 Jun 2026 · Ciudad de Bolívar 1–2 Deportivo Moron
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.33 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.48 |
| BTTS No | 62% | 1.50 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| Deportivo Moron Win | 56% | 1.73 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 38% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primera Nacional matches that day
- Chaco For Ever vs Racing Cordoba · 31 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Chaco For Ever Draw No Bet @ 1.25 - Los Andes vs Atletico Mitre · 31 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.48 - Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste · 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.22 - Agropecuario vs Almagro · 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Almagro Under 1.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Atlanta vs Midland · 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Atlanta Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Club Atlético Güemes vs Temperley · 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.25 - Godoy Cruz vs Almirante Brown · 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.22 - San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy · 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: San Martin S.J. Win @ 1.48 - San Miguel vs Deportivo Madryn · 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals - San Telmo vs Central Norte · 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals - Tristan Suarez vs Deportivo Maipu · 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Primera Nacional
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.44