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Cup · Slovenia
Triglav vs Nafta prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Triglav host Nafta in the Cup (Slovenia) on 23 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.58, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Triglav had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 5. Nafta had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Triglav's last 10 and 6 of Nafta's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Triglav averaged 2.18 goals scored and 0.73 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Nafta averaged 1.09 scored and 0.64 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.63 goals from Triglav and 0.86 from Nafta. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 19%, against 29%, 26% and 45% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 48%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Triglav (green) and Nafta (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 22 May 2026 · Nafta 1–1 Triglav
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.29 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.43 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.58 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| Nafta Win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.08 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Cup matches that day
- Brežice vs Aluminij · 23 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.65 - Tabor Sežana vs Koper · 23 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · Cup
Published pick: Koper Win @ 1.57 - Bistrica vs Bilje · 23 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.55